| Category | Predicted Winner | Inkling's Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Original Screenplay | Midnight in Paris | 62% chance |
| Adapted Screenplay | The Descendants | 78% chance |
| Visual Effects | Rise of the Planet of the Apes | 69% chance |
| Sound Mixing | Hugo | 45% chance |
| Sound Editing | Hugo | 64% chance |
| Best Short Film (Live Action) | The Shore | 41% chance |
| Best Short Film (Animated) | The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris | 46% chance |
| Best Original Song | Man or Muppet | 68% chance |
| Best Original Score | The Artist | 83% chance |
| Makeup | The Iron Lady | 74% chance |
| Foreign Language Film | A Separation | 71% chance |
| Best Film Editing | The Artist | 48% chance |
| Best Documentary (Short Subject) | Saving Face | 39% chance |
| Best Documentary (Feature) | Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory | 33% chance |
| Best Directing | The Artist | 73% chance |
| Costume Design | The Artist | 44% chance |
| Art Cinematography | The Tree of Life | 66% chance |
| Art Direction | Hugo | 68% chance |
| Animated Feature Film | Rango | 88% chance |
| Best Supporting Actress | Octavia Spencer | 82% chance |
| Best Actress | Viola Davis | 76% chance |
| Best Supporting Actor | Christopher Plummer | 80% chance |
| Best Actor | George Clooney | 54% chance |
| Best Picture | The Artist | 80% chance |
Use prediction markets to transform how you forecast, measure risk, and make decisions on projects. It's like a weather report for your organization.
Sunday, February 26, 2012
Inkling's Oscar Prediction Guide 2012
Someone didn't ask about every category for tonight's Academy Awards on our public site, but here's a prediction guide for a lot of the categories as of 4:15 ET/1:15 PT. The higher the chance, the more likely the participants thought that was going to be the winner.
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