Oscar Predictions Guide

I, like many others will sit down to watch the Oscars on Sunday night, at least until I doze off after a boring string of categories or get tired of the continued cheesy rendition by the Oscar Orchestra of some theme song for an 8 or 9 time winner.

So going in to the weekend, I thought it would be fun to report on what some of the predictions are according to the people participating in The Envelope, the LA Times Inkling powered iPhone prediction app we helped with. So here goes:

Category	Leading Answer	Chance of Being Correct	Total No. of Trades
Music Score	Up	80%	898
Best Song	"The Weary Kind"	93%	939
Cinematography	Mauro Fiore / Avatar	56%	1,033
Documentary	The Cove	74%	1,060
Foreign Language Film	The White Ribbon	68%	974
Director	Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker	80%	3,331
Lead Actor	Jeff Bridges - Crazy Heart	95%	2,648
Screenplay (Adapted)	Jason Reitman - Up in the Air	74%	1,091
Screenplay (Original)	Quentin Tarantino - Inglorious Basterds	68%	1,393
Best Picture	Avatar	50%	7,711
Lead Actress	Sandra Bullock - The Blind Side	68%	3,125
Supporting Actor	Christopher Waltz - Inglorious Basterds	99%	2,080
Supporting Actress	Mo'Nique - Precious	98%	3,000
Visual Effects	Avatar	98%	1,155
Animated Feature	Up	92%	1,802