Some interesting discussion at The World Science Festival's panel on Probability and Risk that is relevant to how we ask questions in prediction markets and how we might expect a "crowd" to respond given certain uses of language or preconceptions:
http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2011/06/risk-probability-and-how-our-brains-are-easily-misled.ars
Wednesday, June 08, 2011
Thursday, June 02, 2011
Inkling and Risk Management - IAFS Webinar
On June 3rd I will be participating in an online webinar sponsored by the Intangible Asset Finance Society on risk management to talk about how prediction markets allow an organization to better identify and more accurately predict the probability of specific risks. This is an open (and free!) seminar, details below. If you can not join us live please check the link for recording and materials.
-Scott
To register for the seminar, or access materials later, please go to
http://www.iafinance.org/events.html#event110603
-Scott
To register for the seminar, or access materials later, please go to
http://www.iafinance.org/events.html#event110603
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