Inkling Markets Blog

After graduating from Y Combinator’s second ever batch in the winter of 2006, then operating for close to 10 years, I have formed a new com...

On December 7 of last year, the Carolina Panthers were 3-8-1 and I spent about 1100 Inkles forecasting that they would make the playoffs.  E...

In growing my Inkling score from five thousand to ten million Inkles, one of the most important questions was related to the number of poin...

As I've become more involved with prediction markets, I've grown increasingly frustrated with journalists who make predictions (aka ...

When my grandmother immigrated to the United States, she couldn't afford to call her family on the telephone.  That was about 70 years a...

Barry Ritholtz has written a curious column titled The 'Wisdom of Crowds' Is Not That Wise for Bloomberg View, which criticizes pr...

When I joined Inkling Markets in Sep 2014, I started forecasting on our public-facing forecasting site .   I already had some experience us...

The 2015 edition of the US Open will be played this week at Chambers Bay Golf Course in University Place, Washington. With big events like t...

A few weeks ago, we pushed a code release to our public market that incorporated a decent number of changes. Just as we always do, we were c...

Prediction markets are often used to forecast when an event will occur.  Our newest question type combines our standard option markets with ...

We are hiring a new Rails Developer. Information about the position is posted here: Inkling Rails Developer If you're interested...

A government funded project we're participating in received a nice write up and audio story on NPR this morning. Read the article and ...

The Oscars are over, the Hollywood elite are home in their mansions nursing their hangovers and taking an in-house spa day, and the rest of ...

The Oscars begin shortly and here's Inkling's predictions. Each winner Inkling predicted has the highest chance of winning among its...

As someone running a small company with a handful of employees and several contractors, I've had to learn the limits of how hard I can ...

The latest version of the Inkling iOS app is now available on the app store. New features include: Native alerts for new questions that h...

Reggae Skeleton Dance - Happy Halloween!

We were late to the party in updating our app for iOS7 but finally have a version out that is compatible and doesn't crash. Anyone who h...

A few application improvements we've made recently: On your dashboard the data was always stale. It was automatically refreshed every...

When it comes to economics versus psychology, score one for psychology. Economists argue that markets usually reflect rational behavior—tha...

When I was a senior in college I worked in the kitchen at a pizza place called Lennie's in Bloomington, Indiana to make a little extra m...

The World  Future Society's annual conference,  WorldFuture 2013: Exploring the Next Horizon  brings together the world’s premier minds ...

Adam demonstrated how Inkling can be used as a risk assessment tool to estimate the probability of an impact occurring. This impact probabi...

In college I studied economics. I recommend it to anyone who feels comfortable with the idea of knowing a lot about the world's woes an...

Today we made some updates to the ‘All Trades’ and the ‘Price Changes’ reports which site administrators can begin using right away. Here i...

A few months ago, Rod Smith from Stratecon Inc. a boutique consulting firm that serves the water industry out of Claremont, CA, reached out...

This Sunday evening the stars will all come together in Hollywood as they always do once a year for the 2013 Academy Awards. Every year in...

Eric Zitzewitz, an Associate Professor at Dartmouth and expert in prediction markets wrote a great opinion piece for Bloomberg about why Int...

Version 1.0.1 of Inkling Predictions is now available in the app store . We fixed several bugs and made the app compatible with the iPhone...

After getting through a couple review hurdles with Apple, our iOS app for Inkling is now available! "Inkling Predictions" can be...

As a software product considered "optional" to use in most settings, we have to really worry about incentives for people to parti...