Wednesday, June 08, 2011

Risk, probability and how our brains are easily misled

Some interesting discussion at The World Science Festival's panel on Probability and Risk that is relevant to how we ask questions in prediction markets and how we might expect a "crowd" to respond given certain uses of language or preconceptions:

http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2011/06/risk-probability-and-how-our-brains-are-easily-misled.ars

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Inkling and Risk Management - IAFS Webinar

On June 3rd I will be participating in an online webinar sponsored by the Intangible Asset Finance Society on risk management to talk about how prediction markets allow an organization to better identify and more accurately predict the probability of specific risks. This is an open (and free!) seminar, details below. If you can not join us live please check the link for recording and materials.

-Scott

To register for the seminar, or access materials later, please go to

http://www.iafinance.org/events.html#event110603